Saturday, April 21, 2012

Could Christie Tilt the Scales in Favor of Romney?

According to conventional wisdom, the selection of a vice presidential candidate is not supposed to affect the outcome of a US presidential election . . . unless you're foolish enough to pick Sarah Palin. However, given that the 2012 presidential election is apt to be decided by a whisker - dog or otherwise (see: http://jgcaesarea.blogspot.com/2012/04/gail-collins-again-off-today-has-she.html) - Romney's decision regarding a running mate has assumed disproportionate weight.

According to Public Policy Polling's latest poll (see: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/04/obama-leads-romney-by-three-christie-would-make-it-a-tie.html), Romney's selection of Chris Christie would currently result in the Obama-Biden and Romney-Christie tickets each receiving 47% of the vote. Without a vice presidential candidate, Public Policy Polling found that Romney would receive 46% of the vote, compared with 49% for Obama.

Of particular interest was the fact that when Marco Rubio was paired with Romney, Public Policy Polling determined that Obama would lead by 49% to 43%, i.e. Rubio would not improve Romney's chances by garnering the Hispanic vote.

With Paul Ryan, Romney loses by 48%-43%.

Why does Christie tilt the scales in favor of Romney? Personally, I like his abrasively honest demeanor and would have preferred that he head the Republican ticket. And although some say that Christie's proportions preclude his candidacy, approximately a third of Americans over the age of 20 suffer from obesity and can empathize with his corpulence.

Christie sounds ready to accept the Republican nomination for vice president. According to Yahoo! News (http://news.yahoo.com/christie-listen-romney-asks-him-running-mate-173656944--abc-news-politics.html):

"'I love this job (governor) and I'm not looking to do it (vice president),' the governor said.

'But I also think it is extraordinarily arrogant for you to say you won't even listen to the nominee of your party - especially for me. It's someone who I've been supporting since last October vigorously around the country - that I wouldn't take a call from Mitt Romney,' Christie told reporters at a press conference here."

Moreover, in an apparent bid to improve his foreign polcy credentials, Christie earlier this month visited Israel on his first official overseas trip, and met with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu (see: http://news.yahoo.com/christie-israel-1st-official-overseas-trip-141220721.html).

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